Potential Hurricane Sara Could Impact Walt Disney World Area Next Week

8 days ago in "Severe Weather impacts to Walt Disney World"

Forum Forums Tweet Share Tweet Share

Gallery / 1 Photo
AL99 Disturbance

Posted: Wednesday November 13, 2024 10:42am ET by WDWMAGIC Staff

The National Hurricane Center is keeping an eye on a developing tropical system in the Caribbean that could impact Florida, including the Walt Disney World area, next week. While it's too early to determine the exact effects, current models show the storm tracking towards Central Florida, raising concerns for those planning visits to the theme parks.

AL99 Disturbance

According to the National Hurricane Center's Tropical Weather Outlook, a broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean, labeled as AL99, is likely to become a tropical depression soon. Environmental conditions are favorable for further development, and the system has a 90% chance of strengthening over the next couple of days. The storm, which would be named Sara, is expected to move slowly into the western Caribbean and turn northwest by early next week. Heavy rains are already forecasted for Jamaica, and an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system today.

If the storm continues along its projected path, it could reach Central Florida by mid-next week, potentially bringing heavy rain, wind, and possible park closures.

For those planning to visit Walt Disney World or other parts of Florida, it's a good idea to keep a close watch on official weather updates over the coming days. As always, Disney will adjust its operations as needed, based on safety conditions, which could include ride closures, event cancellations, or changes in park hours.

We’ll continue to provide updates as more information becomes available about the storm's track and any expected impacts.

Discuss on the Forums

Get Walt Disney World News Delivered to Your Inbox

Ayla7 days ago

It is late, but Hurricane season technically goes through Nov 30th.

IanDLBZF7 days ago

000 WTNT34 KNHC 141449 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nineteen Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192024 1000 AM EST Thu Nov 14 2024 ...LIFE-THREATENING AND POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES EXPECTED IN HONDURAS THROUGH THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 82.6W ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM ESE OF ISLA GUANAJA HONDURAS ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM NE OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Honduras has discontinued the Hurricane Watch for Honduras and the Bay Islands. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The northern coast of Honduras form Punta Sal eastward to the Honduras/Nicaragua Border * The Bay Islands of Honduras A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The northeastern coast of Nicaragua from Puerto Cabezas northward to the Honduras/Nicaragua Border A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in Honduras, Guatemala, Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM EST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nineteen was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 82.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). This motion should continue through today, bringing the center near the coast of eastern Honduras. The system is expected to meander near the northern coast of Honduras late Friday and through the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast and the system is forecast to become a tropical storm later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Tropical Depression Nineteen can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml RAINFALL: Through early next week, rainfall amounts of 10 to 20 inches with isolated storm totals around 30 inches area expected over northern Honduras. This rainfall will lead to widespread areas of life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding and mudslides, especially along and near the Sierra La Esperanza. Elsewhere across the rest of Honduras, Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala, and western Nicaragua, Tropical Depression Nineteen is expected to produce 5 to 10 inches of rain with localized totals around 15 inches through early next week. This will result in areas of flash flooding, perhaps significant, along with the potential of mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Nineteen, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/205755.shtml? rainqpf#contents WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area and possible in the watch area beginning later today. STORM SURGE: Storm surge could raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast in areas of onshore winds along the northern coast of Honduras. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM EST. Next complete advisory at 400 PM EST. $$ Forecaster Kelly

John park hopper7 days ago

Wow this really late in the hurricane season

wdwmagic8 days ago

IanDLBZF8 days ago

From NHC… NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nineteen, located over the western Caribbean Sea, at 400 PM EST (2100 UTC).

Brisco8 days ago

Best case scenario if this thing develops would be a hit south of Marco Island like the median (black line) is currently showing. Peak storm surge would be mostly in the wildlife. Could go anywhere though.

Disstevefan18 days ago

THANKS NOW I WANT SPAGHETTI !

IanDLBZF8 days ago

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99): A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or two while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is expected to turn slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica and the Cayman Islands during the next day or so. For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow morning. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Forecaster Kelly

threvester8 days ago

Sweet....my flight out is at 6pm wed 11/20..hopefully this thing fades out like the last one

IanDLBZF8 days ago

https://www.wftv.com/news/local/data-shows-tropical-system-will-develop-could-impact-florida-next-week/6B6ZLNL4NVDITM7RNMSFZ2MEBE/

IanDLBZF9 days ago

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Tue Nov 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Central and Western Caribbean Sea (AL99): Showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean Sea have become more organized in associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly westward into the western Caribbean Sea. Afterward, further development is likely while the disturbance meanders over the western Caribbean Sea through the weekend. The system is forecast begin moving slowly northwestward by early next week. Interests across the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rains are expected over Jamaica and portions of Haiti during the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Achtzehn9 days ago

Oh gosh late season hurricane again…! I think it’s gonna have a pretty similar track to Ian so south of Tampa Bay and Orlando which mean less impact for WDW… Milton was the most impactful hurricane to hit Orlando since Irma in 2017.